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The U.S. Dollar regained footing on Friday after a volatile week, buoyed by firm U.S. yields and renewed caution following weak Chinese trade data. Market participants digested a narrowing in China’s October trade surplus — a sign of slowing global demand — which pressured risk-linked currencies like the AUD and NZD. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen retreated after a brief rally, and USD/CAD hovered near six-month highs despite persistent speculation about eventual Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Investors now await the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for further direction, as traders assess the balance between resilient U.S. fundamentals and fading global growth momentum.
USD/CAD remains firm above 1.4100, hovering near a six-month high as traders balance soft crude oil prices against moderating expectations of imminent Fed rate cuts. The pair’s resilience reflects underlying USD strength amid subdued risk appetite and weak Canadian data momentum.
Geopolitical Risks: Stable energy supply and limited geopolitical escalation have capped CAD’s upside.
US Economic Data: Solid U.S. job figures continue to support the greenback, reinforcing rate cut hesitation.
FOMC Outcome: Markets have dialed back aggressive Fed easing bets, keeping USD demand intact.
Trade Policy: No major trade disruptions, but slowing global trade indirectly pressures CAD via oil.
Monetary Policy: The Bank of Canada’s cautious tone contrasts with the Fed’s “higher-for-longer” stance.
Trend: Uptrend momentum remains firm above 1.4100.
Resistance: 1.4165 and 1.4230.
Support: 1.4050 and 1.3980.
Forecast: USD/CAD may test 1.4200 if oil prices weaken further and U.S. yields stay elevated.
Market Sentiment: Mildly bullish toward USD amid risk aversion.
Catalysts: Canada’s jobs report and U.S. sentiment data may drive near-term volatility.
NZD/USD trades below 0.5650 as China’s October trade surplus narrowed, raising concerns about New Zealand’s export outlook. The Kiwi weakened alongside other risk-sensitive currencies as demand for U.S. Dollars returned.
Geopolitical Risks: Global uncertainty keeps safe-haven flows tilted toward the USD.
US Economic Data: Robust U.S. payroll growth amplifies policy divergence.
Trade Policy: China’s weaker trade figures highlight fragility in NZ’s key export market.
Trend: Bearish bias below 0.5650.
Forecast: NZD/USD likely to remain pressured unless Chinese trade sentiment stabilizes.
Market Sentiment: Cautiously bearish on the Kiwi.
Catalysts: Chinese inflation and trade data revisions may influence near-term moves.
AUD/USD slipped as China’s trade surplus narrowed in October, signaling weaker demand for Australian commodities. The pair traded near 0.6400, with investors staying cautious amid declining risk appetite.
Geopolitical Risks: Global growth slowdown dampens commodity-linked sentiment.
US Economic Data: Solid U.S. employment data reinforces USD strength.
FOMC Outcome: A patient Fed stance sustains USD resilience.
Trend: Sideways-to-bearish near 0.6400.
Resistance: 0.6450 and 0.6510.
Support: 0.6360 and 0.6310.
Market Sentiment: Bearish-to-neutral, pressured by China data.
Catalysts: Chinese industrial output and U.S. CPI next week could trigger fresh direction.
USD/JPY eased slightly after touching a one-week high, trading near 151.50 as Japan’s weak domestic data limited Yen strength. Traders continue to weigh Bank of Japan’s policy hesitation against resilient U.S. Treasury yields.
Geopolitical Risks: Limited safe-haven demand despite global slowdown fears.
US Economic Data: Solid U.S. data sustains Treasury yield support.
FOMC Outcome: Fed’s steady approach underpins USD demand.
Trend: Bullish bias above 151.00.
Resistance: 151.85 and 152.30.
Support: 150.90 and 150.30.
Forecast: USD/JPY may retest 152.00 if BoJ maintains dovish tone.
Market Sentiment: Bullish on USD as yield spread favors Dollar.
Catalysts: Next BoJ policy guidance and U.S. sentiment data.
The U.S. Dollar Index rebounded near the 100 level after Thursday’s sharp drop, supported by resilient data and cautious global sentiment. The recovery signals that markets are rebalancing after overextended short-dollar positioning.
Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing global growth concerns bolster the USD’s safe-haven role.
US Economic Data: Strong labor data underpins economic resilience.
FOMC Outcome: Steady Fed stance sustains dollar demand.
Trade Policy: Global trade slowdown indirectly supports USD via risk aversion.
Trend: Rebound from oversold territory.
Resistance: 100.45 and 100.90.
Support: 99.80 and 99.40.
Forecast: DXY likely to consolidate near 100.50 before next week’s U.S. CPI release.
Market Sentiment: Slightly bullish as risk sentiment remains fragile.
Catalysts: U.S. Michigan Consumer Sentiment and next week’s CPI figures.
Currency markets ended the week on a cautious note, with the U.S. Dollar Index stabilizing near the 100 mark after recent losses. Weaker Chinese trade figures weighed on commodity-linked currencies, while safe-haven demand softened amid calmer risk sentiment. Looking ahead, next week’s U.S. CPI print and key central bank commentary will be crucial in shaping expectations for December policy decisions, potentially setting the tone for FX performance into mid-November.
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Global markets traded cautiously on Thursday as investors weighed the economic implications of the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, now the longest in history. The U.S. Dollar Index struggled to maintain support near the 100.00 mark, while gold and silver prices eased amid a modest rebound in U.S. private payrolls. Meanwhile, traders continued to monitor developments in Asia, with China’s latest yuan fixing and speculation surrounding a possible Bank of Japan policy shift adding to cross-asset volatility.
Gold edged lower below $4,000 after a modest rebound in U.S. private payrolls trimmed some of the immediate safe-haven demand. The metal remains supported by the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and persistent inflation uncertainty, but upside is capped while the Dollar finds intermittent bids.
Geopolitical Risks: The prolonged U.S. shutdown keeps headline risk elevated, sustaining occasional defensive buying in gold.
US Economic Data: A rebound in private payrolls reduced some near-term safe-haven flows, weighing on bullion.
FOMC Outcome: Any Fed comments that push back on rate cuts would raise real yields and pressure gold.
Trade Policy: Easing US–China trade tensions lower extreme hedging flows, limiting gold’s outsized rallies.
Monetary Policy: A still-accommodative global central-bank backdrop supports medium-term demand for precious metals.
Trend: Neutral-to-slightly bullish on the medium term while above $3,950.
Resistance: $4,030 then $4,080.
Support: $3,960 then $3,920.
Forecast: Expect consolidation in the $3,950–$4,030 range; a decisive break above $4,030 would reopen upside toward $4,080.
Market Sentiment: Cautious — traders are hedging with small positions, buying dips into headline risk.
Catalysts: Any US shutdown developments, US CPI/PCE prints, and Fed speakers.
Silver is trading near $49.00 but shows vulnerability below the pivotal $49.35–$49.40 zone as profit-taking follows the recent run. The metal remains sensitive to both defensive flows and industrial demand cues, so its next directional move will depend on risk sentiment and US data.
Geopolitical Risks: Elevated headline risk from the US shutdown provides intermittent support to silver.
US Economic Data: Strong payrolls weaken the safe-haven bid and can pressure silver; weak data would do the opposite.
Trade Policy: Improved US-China trade tone helps industrial demand, a positive for silver’s fundamentals.
Trend: Short-term corrective while below the $49.35–$49.40 resistance band.
Forecast: Expect rangebound action between $47.80–$49.40; a breach above $49.40 would target $50+.
Market Sentiment: Mixed — traders trim positions ahead of major US prints.
Catalysts: US CPI/PPI, US–China headlines, and Treasury yield moves.
The US Dollar Index is holding losses near 100.00 as the U.S. government shutdown becomes the longest on record, producing intermittent dollar weakness amid fiscal uncertainty. While headline risk often supports safe-haven FX flows, the shutdown’s growth implications are creating two-way pressure on the Dollar.
Geopolitical Risks: The ongoing U.S. shutdown elevates fiscal uncertainty and periodically boosts safe-haven demand for USD.
US Economic Data: Mixed domestic data (payrolls rebound vs other soft prints) is causing rangebound Dollar dynamics.
FOMC Outcome: Any pushback from the Fed on rate-cut timing would support the Dollar; dovish tilt would weigh.
Trend: Neutral-to-rangebound around the 99.50–100.50 area.
Resistance: 100.40 then 101.00.
Support: 99.30 then 98.80.
Market Sentiment: Cautious and data-dependent as markets price fiscal and policy uncertainty.
Catalysts: US shutdown headlines, upcoming CPI/PCE releases, and Fed commentary.
USD/CNY is trading around 7.0865–7.09 after the PBOC set a slightly firmer reference (7.0865 vs prior 7.0901), signaling intent to steady the yuan amid global uncertainty. Markets view the PBoC fix and China’s policy signals as efforts to maintain FX stability while growth/ trade measures are adjusted.
Geopolitical Risks: Reduced US-China tensions from tariff easing help ease depreciation pressure on the yuan.
US Economic Data: A firmer US Dollar on stronger data would push USDCNY higher.
FOMC Outcome: A hawkish Fed raises USD funding demand and may pressure onshore rates.
Trend: Sideways with a mild firmer-yuan bias driven by policy guidance.
Resistance: 7.1000 then 7.1150.
Support: 7.0700 then 7.0500.
Forecast: Expect a managed range near current levels; stronger risk appetite and tariff easing could nudge USDCNY lower.
Market Sentiment: Cautiously constructive toward the yuan as policy aims for stability.
Catalysts: PBoC fixes, Nov. 10 tariff changes implementation, and US macro surprises.
USD/JPY is trading with modest upside pressure as the Japanese Yen posts small gains but remains vulnerable amid ongoing BoJ uncertainty; the pair sits near multi-month peaks for USD/JPY. Investors are balancing the prospect of BoJ policy shifts against a resilient Dollar and risk dynamics tied to the US shutdown.
Geopolitical Risks: Regional stability and global risk moves intermittently support the Yen as a defensive asset.
US Economic Data: Strong US prints lift the Dollar and can push USD/JPY higher.
FOMC Outcome: A hawkish Fed would tend to keep USD/JPY elevated via higher US yields.
Trade Policy: Strategic supply deals and trade developments influence JPY flows indirectly through risk channels.
Trend: Rangebound with a mild USD bias while BoJ outcomes remain unclear.
Resistance:154.50 then 155.20.
Support: 153.20 then 152.50.
Forecast: Expect consolidation with occasional spikes; a clear BoJ tightening signal would likely push USD/JPY lower (yen stronger), while continued USD strength keeps upside risk intact.
Market Sentiment: Mixed — traders are hedging around potential BoJ commentary and US data.
Catalysts: BoJ minutes/speeches, Tokyo CPI updates, and US Treasury yield moves.
Markets remain on edge as political gridlock in Washington casts uncertainty over near-term U.S. fiscal stability. Traders will now turn their attention to upcoming U.S. inflation data and speeches from Federal Reserve officials for fresh clues on rate trajectory and market sentiment. With risk appetite fragile and safe-store demand fluctuating, volatility may persist across major currency and commodity pairs heading into the weekend.
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Global markets traded mixed on Tuesday as investors assessed the implications of a potential U.S. government shutdown and fresh signs of easing trade tensions between the world’s two largest economies. The U.S. Dollar firmed modestly amid safe-haven demand, while the British Pound and New Zealand Dollar fell sharply on weak domestic fundamentals. Meanwhile, China’s pledge to lift tariffs on certain U.S. agricultural imports added a dose of optimism to trade-sensitive currencies and commodities.
Gold extended its gains above $4,000 as investors sought safety amid concerns that the ongoing U.S. government shutdown could become the longest in history. The yellow metal benefited from a weaker U.S. Dollar and renewed safe-haven demand as fiscal uncertainty weighed on risk sentiment.
Geopolitical Risks: Fears of prolonged U.S. political gridlock have revived risk aversion, boosting gold’s defensive appeal.
US Economic Data: Recent mixed labor data underscores fragile growth momentum, favoring gold as a hedge.
FOMC Outcome: The Fed’s cautious stance and rate cut expectations lend additional support to non-yielding assets.
Trade Policy: Market optimism over easing U.S.-China trade tensions has been overshadowed by domestic political risk.
Monetary Policy: A potential dovish policy turn from the Fed continues to underpin the metal’s outlook.
Trend: Bullish momentum persists after reclaiming the $4,000 handle.
Resistance: $4,030 and $4,065.
Support: $3,980 and $3,950.
Forecast: A sustained break above $4,030 could open the path toward $4,080 in the near term.
Market Sentiment: Traders are leaning bullish on safe-haven assets amid heightened political and fiscal uncertainty.
Catalysts: Any resolution—or escalation—of the U.S. shutdown saga will be key to near-term gold direction.
WTI crude fell further to hover near $60.00, pressured by a sharp rise in U.S. crude inventories and fading demand optimism. The recent OPEC+ pause in output hikes failed to offset the drag from weaker global consumption signals.
Geopolitical Risks: Middle East tensions remain contained, offering limited risk premium for oil.
US Economic Data: Rising stockpiles and slower industrial demand signal cooling energy consumption.
Trade Policy: Improved U.S.-China trade tone could bolster longer-term oil demand.
Trend: Bearish momentum persists after multiple failed recoveries above $62.00.
Forecast: If prices close below $59.70, a slide toward $58.00 could follow.
Market Sentiment: Bearish, as traders respond to mounting supply signals.
Catalysts: Upcoming EIA data and any fresh OPEC+ commentary will steer price action.
China’s Finance Ministry announced plans to lift some tariffs on U.S. agricultural imports from November 10, a move seen as a step toward stabilizing trade relations. The decision offers relief to global commodity markets and may boost confidence in future U.S.-China cooperation.
Geopolitical Risks: The easing of tariffs signals improving diplomatic ties between Washington and Beijing.
US Economic Data: Potential agricultural export boosts could support U.S. trade balance data in coming months.
FOMC Outcome: A more dovish Fed may complement China’s pro-growth policies in supporting global demand.
Trend: Positive sentiment for risk assets and commodities tied to U.S.-China trade.
Resistance: Key sentiment resistance at renewed risk appetite around equity markets.
Support: Support levels seen in commodities benefiting from agricultural rebound.
Market Sentiment: Optimistic, as investors welcome policy gestures from Beijing.
Catalysts: The official tariff adjustment on Nov. 10 and any reciprocal U.S. trade measures.
The British Pound plunged to fresh multi-week lows, trading near 1.3040, as selling pressure intensified amid renewed U.S. Dollar strength. The move reflects worsening U.K. growth sentiment and persistent market doubts over BoE’s rate outlook.
Geopolitical Risks: Political uncertainty around post-Brexit trade negotiations continues to cloud outlook.
US Economic Data: Stronger U.S. manufacturing and job data bolster the greenback’s dominance.
FOMC Outcome: The Fed’s cautious rhetoric supports the Dollar over risk currencies.
Trend: Strongly bearish below 1.3100.
Resistance: 1.3100 and 1.3170.
Support: 1.3000 and 1.2950.
Forecast: Continued pressure toward 1.2950 appears likely unless the U.S. Dollar weakens.
Market Sentiment: Bearish, with traders favoring the Dollar as a safe bet amid global uncertainty.
Catalysts: U.K. GDP updates and BoE statements later this week could shift direction.
The New Zealand Dollar slumped below 0.5650 after data showed unemployment rising to a nine-year high, signaling deepening labor market weakness. The release sparked fresh selling as traders anticipate a dovish RBNZ tone in upcoming meetings.
Geopolitical Risks: Limited, but regional slowdown concerns weigh on sentiment.
US Economic Data: Robust U.S. figures continue to favor the greenback over weaker peers.
FOMC Outcome: A steady Fed stance reinforces Dollar demand.
Trade Policy: Ongoing trade recovery in China offers little relief to domestic weakness.
Trend: Bearish after breaking key psychological support.
Resistance: 0.5700 and 0.5740.
Support: 0.5620 and 0.5580.
Forecast: A deeper pullback toward 0.5580 appears likely amid continued selling pressure.
Market Sentiment: Bearish, reflecting renewed fears of economic slowdown.
Catalysts: Upcoming RBNZ commentary and additional employment data will be closely watched.
Overall, traders remained cautious ahead of upcoming U.S. data and ongoing political wrangling in Washington. With fiscal uncertainty mounting and China’s policy signals turning more constructive, currency markets may continue to see heightened volatility as the week unfolds.
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AMD is set to report its Q3 2025 results on November 4, with investor attention locked on whether its booming AI-chip business, bolstered by new deals and data-centre momentum, can deliver strong numbers — and whether margins and valuation can keep pace. The coming quarter may show whether AMD is simply riding the AI wave or truly executing a longer-term transformation.
• Estimated Revenue: ~US$8.7 billion (+~28% YoY)
• Estimated Adjusted EPS: ~US$1.17 per share (+~27% YoY)
• Guidance & Margin: AMD expects ~54% non-GAAP gross margin for Q3.
AMD shares are trading near record highs (recent highs above ~$260) as the market rallies around its AI-chip momentum. Analysts continue to highlight that much of the upside is already priced in, making execution and margin progression key.
With revenue forecast at ~$8.7 billion and earnings per share at ~$1.17, the market will scrutinise whether AMD can deliver above these benchmarks and provide credible guidance for its next-stage growth, especially in the AI/data-centre segment.
1.Data-Centre & AI Chip Momentum – AMD’s ramp of its Instinct MI350 series accelerators and broad adoption across major customers (including cloud and enterprise) are central to this quarter’s narrative.
2.Client & Gaming Segment Rebound – Beyond AI, growth in client CPUs and gaming remains important for diversification and stabilising overall revenue expansion.
3.Margins & Capital Discipline – After recent heavy investment and export-control impacts, margin improvement will be closely watched. Management’s ability to convert scale into profitability will matter.
4.Valuation & Execution Risk – With share-price gains already strong, the stock’s valuation reflects high expectations — any misstep may trigger downside.
5. Long-Term AI Contract Wins – Large-scale partnerships (e.g., with AI platform firms) and future pipeline wins could validate AMD’s positioning and expand its AI addressable market.
Trend: Strong bullish sentiment, though with elevated risk given recent run-up
Resistance: ~$280-$300 region (near recent record highs)
Support: ~$230-$240 zone
Forecast: A solid beat and bullish forward guidance could propel shares toward $300+. Conversely, any margin or guidance disappointment could see a pull-back to ~$230-$240.
Sentiment toward AMD is constructively positive, driven by its exposure to AI infrastructure and server-chip tailwinds. However, analysts caution that much of the growth story is already priced in and emphasise the importance of execution.
AMD’s Q3 earnings release will serve as a critical checkpoint in its transition from chipmaker to AI-infrastructure powerhouse. While revenue growth appears poised for double digits, the market will reward clarity on margins, guidance, and pipeline strength. For investors, the question isn’t just how fast AMD is growing, but how well it can scale profitably and sustainably in the AI era.
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Uber Technologies is scheduled to report its Q3 2025 earnings after U.S. markets close on Tuesday, November 4. With ride-hailing and delivery volumes showing signs of recovery, investor focus has shifted to how well Uber can capitalise on this momentum — while simultaneously advancing its autonomous vehicle (AV) strategy and maintaining profitability in the face of heavy investment.
• Analyst estimates point to gross bookings around US$48.97 billion, up from ~US$40.97 billion a year ago.
• Revenue for 2025 is projected at about US$51.43 billion, implying ~16.9% growth year-on-year.
• Adjusted EPS estimates vary; some compute around US$0.91 per share.
Uber shares are currently trading in the region of US$100–US$105, reflecting cautious optimism around its rebound in bookings and potential upside from its AV partnerships. With gross bookings projected to be nearly US$49 billion, investors will watch whether the increased scale translates into accelerated profitability and how the autonomous segment begins to contribute to the long-term narrative.
1.Gross Bookings Momentum & Delivery Recovery — With ride and delivery segments resurging, the scale of bookings growth will be a major performance anchor.
2.Autonomous & Mobility Partnerships — Investors will look for updates on Uber’s collaborations with companies like Waymo and NVIDIA Corporation (in the AV stack) to assess the “next-gen mobility” trajectory.
3.Profitability & Cost Leverage — With growth comes rising costs (drivers, logistics, tech). The margin outlook and operating leverage will matter as Uber scales.
4.Capital Allocation & Share Buyback — How Uber deploys its free cash flow — whether into growth, partnerships or buybacks — will influence investor sentiment.
5. Macro & Consumer Demand Sensitivity — As a platform exposed to consumer behaviour, macroeconomic conditions, and travel/delivery trends will impact performance.
Trend: Moderately bullish — with upside potential if bookings beat expectations.
Resistance: ~$115
Support: ~$90–95
Forecast: A strong print could lift the stock toward ~$120+, but weak guidance or margin softness could see retest of the ~$90 level.
Sentiment is cautiously optimistic: many believe Uber’s platform resilience is improving, yet the AV story and cost discipline remain significant risk factors. Institutional investors are watching for “proof of progress” rather than just bright headlines.
Uber’s upcoming Q3 earnings report will be more than a numbers event — it’s potentially a reaffirmation of its transition from rebound to sustainable growth. The rise in bookings is encouraging, but meaningful gains will come only if Uber shows it can convert higher volume into improved margins and lay out a credible path for its AV and mobility business. For investors, the key question is: Is Uber back — and if so, how strong and how fast?
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Global currency markets opened the week on a cautious tone as central bank signals dominated sentiment. The Australian Dollar initially strengthened after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) held interest rates steady at 3.6%, though gains were tempered by a stronger U.S. Dollar and renewed volatility in commodity prices. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen advanced as speculation grew over potential rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Elsewhere, the British Pound paused its recent slide, while the Canadian Dollar weakened amid softer crude oil prices and firm U.S. yields.
GBP/USD steadied near 1.3150 after a prolonged downtrend, as the Pound found support from softer U.S. Treasury yields and short-term profit-taking on the Dollar. Market participants remain cautious ahead of key U.S. data, which could redefine expectations for the Federal Reserve’s policy path.
Geopolitical Risks: Global market unease over Middle East tensions continues to boost demand for the U.S. Dollar as a defensive play.
US Economic Data: Investors await U.S. nonfarm payrolls and CPI data for signs of economic resilience.
FOMC Outcome: Fed officials’ hawkish tone limits Pound recovery potential.
Trade Policy: UK trade deficit concerns may weigh on Sterling’s long-term outlook.
Monetary Policy: The Bank of England is expected to maintain its cautious stance as inflation remains sticky.
Trend: Downtrend moderates, with early signs of base formation.
Resistance: 1.3220
Support: 1.3080
Forecast: Consolidation likely before potential rebound toward 1.3200 if U.S. data disappoints.
Market Sentiment: Mixed, with traders hesitant to build fresh long positions ahead of U.S. data.
Catalysts: BoE commentary, U.S. labor market data, and risk sentiment shifts.
EUR/JPY slipped toward 177.00 as rising speculation about potential BoJ rate hikes strengthened the Yen. The Euro’s weakness was amplified by softer Eurozone manufacturing data, dampening risk appetite across the region.
Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing European energy security concerns limit Euro support.
US Economic Data: Limited direct impact but could shift global yield sentiment.
Trade Policy: Japan’s trade balance improvement adds confidence to Yen buyers.
Trend: Bearish bias persists.
Forecast: Potential further downside toward 176.00 if BoJ rhetoric strengthens.
Market Sentiment: Bearish amid rising BoJ rate expectations.
Catalysts: BoJ policy updates, Eurozone inflation figures.
AUD/NZD hovered near 1.1480, its highest level since September 2022, as the Australian Dollar benefited from the RBA’s steady rate stance and a mildly upbeat tone on inflation control. The Kiwi lagged amid slower New Zealand growth expectations.
Geopolitical Risks: Limited direct influence but overall market caution supports carry trades.
US Economic Data: Indirectly influences risk appetite and commodity demand.
FOMC Outcome: Hawkish Fed limits broader AUD upside against USD but not NZD.
Trend: trong uptrend continuation.
Resistance: 1.1500
Support: 1.1400
Market Sentiment: Optimistic, driven by strong AUD fundamentals.
Catalysts: RBA minutes, Australian retail sales, NZD GDP updates.
USD/CAD traded above 1.4050 as the U.S. Dollar strengthened on firm yields and weaker oil prices weighed on the Canadian Dollar. Investors anticipate cautious tones from both the Fed and the Bank of Canada (BoC) this week.
Geopolitical Risks: Global oil supply uncertainty keeps CAD under pressure.
US Economic Data: Robust U.S. data reinforces Dollar demand.
FOMC Outcome: Fed’s hawkish bias favors USD resilience.
Trend: Uptrend remains intact.
Resistance: 1.4100
Support: 1.3980
Forecast: Potential test of 1.4100 if oil remains under pressure.
Market Sentiment: Bullish USD bias.
Catalysts: Crude oil prices, U.S. ISM manufacturing data, BoC policy remarks.
AUD/JPY slipped after the RBA held rates steady at 3.6%, triggering selling pressure on the Aussie. The pair currently trades near 96.50, as traders shift focus to Japan’s evolving rate outlook.
Geopolitical Risks: Asia-Pacific trade stability provides mild support.
US Economic Data: Indirect impact via global risk sentiment.
FOMC Outcome: Hawkish Fed keeps JPY demand steady as a funding currency.
Trade Policy: Strong Japan export performance underpins Yen demand.
Trend: Bearish correction phase.
Resistance: 97.20
Support: 96.10
Forecast: Further weakness likely if BoJ rhetoric strengthens and AUD momentum fades.
Market Sentiment: Bearish due to divergent central bank tones.
Catalysts: RBA meeting minutes, BoJ rate policy commentary.
Traders are now eyeing this week’s U.S. employment and inflation data for clearer clues on the Federal Reserve’s rate trajectory. With policy divergence among major central banks becoming more pronounced, short-term volatility in FX markets is likely to remain elevated. The spotlight stays on the RBA’s forward guidance, BoJ policy shifts, and U.S. Dollar strength as key drivers shaping cross-asset sentiment through the week.
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Palantir is set to report its Q3 2025 results after the U.S. market close on November 3. The company has capitalised on strong demand for its AI-platform solutions, but with more than 150% share price gain year-to-date and elevated valuation multiples, this quarter could test how well Palantir translates momentum into sustainable value.
• Expected Revenue: ~US$1.09 billion (≈ 50% YoY growth)
• Estimated Adjusted EPS: ~US$0.17 per share (≈ 70% YoY growth)
• Commercial segment growth: ~56% YoY; Government segment growth: ~48% YoY
Palantir shares are trading around $215, just below recent highs, reflecting strong investor confidence in its AI momentum. Analysts expect continued revenue expansion, but with valuation stretched, the focus will shift toward margins and sustainability of commercial growth.
1.AI Platform Expansion – The Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) remains Palantir’s biggest driver, with enterprise adoption accelerating across manufacturing, healthcare, and defense.
2.Commercial vs Government Mix – Rapid commercial growth is narrowing Palantir’s reliance on U.S. government contracts, a trend key to sustaining diversification.
3.Profitability and Margins – Investors will monitor whether gross margins remain above 80% and operating margins above 30%, confirming leverage from scaling software deployments.
4.Valuation Sensitivity – After a massive rally, Palantir trades at over 60× forward earnings; any sign of decelerating growth could spark volatility.
5. Guidance and Global Outlook – Updates on AI expansion into Europe and Asia and FY2026 revenue projections will shape near-term sentiment.
Trend: Bullish but near overbought zone
Resistance: $220
Support: $185
Forecast: A strong earnings beat and upbeat FY2026 guidance could lift shares toward $225, while margin compression or weaker bookings may see pullback toward $185.
Market sentiment remains constructive. Institutional flows show selective accumulation, but analysts caution that the stock’s valuation already prices in aggressive growth assumptions.
Palantir’s upcoming earnings will be more than a growth report — it’s a credibility test for its AI transformation story. If management delivers clear evidence of durable margins and commercial traction, the stock could extend its impressive run. But any stumble in guidance or cost discipline may remind investors how high the expectations have become.
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Spotify Technology (NYSE: SPOT) is set to release its third-quarter 2025 earnings this week, with investors watching closely for signs that strong subscriber momentum can offset mounting content and licensing costs. The streaming giant continues to expand its global footprint while navigating tighter margins amid fierce competition from Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Amazon.
Spotify’s shares have traded in a narrow range ahead of the report, hovering near $265. Analysts project revenue of $4.25 billion, up roughly 12% year-on-year, while earnings per share are expected around $1.28. The company’s recent push toward premium pricing and podcast monetization could help sustain profitability, though rising operational expenses remain a concern.
1.Subscriber Growth & Engagement – Spotify’s paid subscriber base, expected to top 250 million, remains a primary growth engine. Active user metrics and premium conversion rates will be closely scrutinized.
2.Ad-Supported Segment Recovery – Improvements in advertising demand, especially from the US and European markets, could help offset slower ARPU growth.
3.Content Costs & Margins – Rising music licensing fees and podcast content investments continue to pressure gross margins, which analysts expect to hover near 28%.
4.AI and Personalization – Spotify’s growing use of AI-driven recommendation tools and custom playlist features could boost engagement and ad efficiency.
5. Outlook Guidance – Investors will look for updated commentary on FY2025 margin targets and any hints of strategic shifts in pricing or cost control.
Spotify stock has maintained a mild uptrend, supported by its 50-day moving average and robust YTD gains.
Trend: Moderately bullish ahead of results
Resistance: $275.00
Support: $250.00
Forecast: A strong earnings beat could drive shares toward $280, while a weak margin outlook may trigger a pullback toward $245.
Sentiment remains cautiously optimistic. Institutional flows suggest confidence in Spotify’s ability to balance growth and profitability, though analysts warn that any slowdown in user engagement could quickly weigh on near-term momentum.
Spotify’s Q3 results will test its balance between scale and sustainability. Investors are less concerned about revenue beats and more focused on profitability trends and long-term margin improvement. The earnings release could define sentiment for the broader digital media sector heading into year-end.
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Global markets started the week on a cautious note as investors sought safety in precious metals while monitoring shifting supply signals in energy markets.
Gold and Silver advanced amid renewed defensive demand, driven by persistent geopolitical tensions and uncertainty around the Fed’s next policy steps. Meanwhile, crude oil prices rebounded above $61.00 after OPEC+ hinted at pausing its planned production increases, easing concerns of an imminent supply glut.
In currency markets, the Japanese Yen remained under pressure amid speculation about the Bank of Japan’s next move, while the Chinese Yuan held steady following a stable PBoC reference rate.
Gold trades around $4,000, recovering from last week’s decline as risk-off sentiment supports renewed defensive demand. However, upside momentum remains capped by a modestly firmer US Dollar and cautious market positioning ahead of key US economic data releases.
Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing global political uncertainty continues to bolster demand for metals as protective assets.
US Economic Data: Upcoming US labor and inflation figures could influence near-term rate expectations and gold’s trajectory.
FOMC Outcome: Markets remain divided on the Fed’s December rate outlook, with dovish bets offering limited upside for gold.
Trade Policy: Easing US-China tensions reduce extreme safe-haven inflows, tempering gold’s momentum.
Monetary Policy: Central bank gold purchases remain supportive, providing a steady floor to prices.
Trend: Consolidation phase after rebounding from a two-week low.
Resistance: $4,050 remains the key ceiling before $4,100.
Support: Initial support sits near $3,970, followed by $3,950.
Forecast: Neutral-to-bullish; gold may hold above $3,950 unless stronger US data triggers fresh USD gains.
Market Sentiment: Cautious optimism prevails as investors maintain selective exposure to metals.
Catalysts: Upcoming Fed speeches and US economic indicators will guide short-term direction.
Silver trades near $49.00, extending its rebound amid renewed demand for defensive and industrial metals. Traders remain cautious, with profit-taking likely if the US Dollar strengthens ahead of major economic releases.
Geopolitical Risks: Persistent global trade uncertainties sustain moderate demand for tangible assets like silver.
US Economic Data: Anticipation of upcoming CPI and labor market data weighs on speculative positioning.
Trade Policy: Improving trade relations slightly reduce defensive demand but aid industrial outlook.
Trend: Gradual recovery with fading downside momentum.
Forecast: Mildly bullish; potential to test $49.50 if Dollar remains subdued.
Market Sentiment: Balanced, with investors rotating between safe-haven and industrial exposure.
Catalysts: US inflation data and Treasury yield shifts to influence next move.
WTI trades around $61.00, supported by OPEC+’s decision to pause planned production hikes. The announcement eased oversupply concerns and lifted market sentiment, though global demand growth remains under scrutiny.
Geopolitical Risks: Middle East supply stability remains fragile, keeping prices sensitive to regional developments.
US Economic Data: Mixed US growth data hint at steady fuel demand, limiting further declines.
FOMC Outcome: Stable Fed policy outlook supports broader market confidence and commodity appetite.
Trend: Reversal from prior downtrend; momentum turning positive.
Resistance: $61.70, followed by $62.50.
Support: Key floors at $60.30 and $59.80.
Market Sentiment: Optimistic following OPEC+’s decision and steady global demand.
Catalysts: US inventory data and OPEC+ commentary remain key short-term triggers.
USD/JPY trades near 154.00, with the Yen remaining under pressure amid persistent BoJ uncertainty. Traders await clarity on Japan’s inflation outlook and possible yield curve control adjustments.
Geopolitical Risks: Regional political stability in Asia tempers demand for the Yen as a risk hedge.
US Economic Data: Stronger US data could widen rate differentials, weighing on JPY.
FOMC Outcome: A hawkish-leaning Fed tone could reinforce USD strength versus the Yen.
Trend: Range-bound with mild USD bias.
Resistance: 154.50 and 155.00.
Support: 153.20 and 152.70.
Forecast: Neutral-to-bearish; potential downside correction if BoJ rhetoric turns hawkish.
Market Sentiment: Mixed as traders weigh divergent policy paths between the Fed and BoJ.
Catalysts: BoJ statements and US yields to steer pair direction.
USD/CNY holds steady near 7.0867 after the PBoC set a slightly stronger reference rate. Markets interpret the move as a signal that Beijing is content with maintaining Yuan stability amid global policy uncertainty.
Geopolitical Risks: Reduced US-China friction offers some relief to regional currencies.
US Economic Data: Upcoming US figures could influence global risk appetite and Dollar demand.
FOMC Outcome: Fed policy clarity could determine USD flows toward Asia.
Trade Policy: Constructive dialogue between Washington and Beijing supports Yuan resilience.
Trend: Sideways with limited volatility.
Resistance: 7.0950 and 7.1100.
Support: 7.0750 and 7.0600.
Forecast: Stable bias; modest Yuan strength possible if risk sentiment improves.
Market Sentiment: Neutral, with confidence in China’s near-term currency management.
Catalysts: PBoC rate guidance and US-China trade updates remain key influencers.
Investor focus now turns to this week’s central bank remarks and US economic data, which could determine whether risk appetite strengthens or safe-haven flows persist.
A cautious tone continues to define market sentiment, with traders balancing optimism over oil stability against ongoing policy and inflation uncertainties across major economies.
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Global markets traded cautiously today as the US Dollar held firm following a series of hawkish signals from Federal Reserve officials, which tempered expectations for near-term rate cuts.
Gold and silver saw mild safe-haven inflows, but gains were capped by stronger yields and a resilient greenback. Meanwhile, risk currencies such as the Aussie retreated after weak Chinese PMI data, while USD/JPY slipped as sticky Tokyo inflation fueled fresh speculation around a possible BoJ policy shift.
Gold edges higher but remains below $4,050, supported by safe-haven flows amid geopolitical tensions and a firm Dollar. The metal continues to attract cautious bids as investors weigh the Fed’s hawkish tone against ongoing global uncertainty.
Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and rising political uncertainty sustain gold’s appeal.
US Economic Data: Stronger economic indicators reinforced the Fed’s confidence in maintaining higher rates.
FOMC Outcome: Policymakers’ hawkish rhetoric suggests rate cuts may be delayed into 2026.
Trade Policy: Limited trade news kept risk sentiment steady but muted safe-haven demand.
Monetary Policy: The Fed’s “higher for longer” stance keeps gold gains constrained near key resistance.
Trend: Mildly bullish consolidation below $4,050.
Resistance: $4,000 and $3,960.
Support: $3,920 and $3,880.
Forecast: Gold may remain range-bound, with upside capped unless risk sentiment deteriorates sharply.
Market Sentiment: Mixed; traders balance rate expectations with geopolitical risk.
Catalysts: Upcoming Fed speeches, US PCE inflation data, and geopolitical updates.
Silver trades near $49.00, steady amid a firm Dollar and cautious tone ahead of comments from Fed officials. Despite softer risk appetite, industrial demand prospects keep the metal supported.
Geopolitical Risks: Supply chain concerns continue to underpin base and precious metals.
US Economic Data: Resilient US growth dampens aggressive rate-cut bets.
Trade Policy: Stable global trade environment supports underlying demand
Trend: Consolidating near short-term highs.
Forecast: Silver likely to hold firm; breakout above $49.30 may open room toward $50.00.
Market Sentiment: Neutral; investors await Fed commentary for next directional cue.
Catalysts: Fed speeches, ISM manufacturing data, and US bond yield movements.
AUD/USD hovers near 0.6550, pressured by soft Chinese PMI readings and a stronger greenback. Risk sentiment remains fragile as traders adjust to diminishing Fed rate-cut prospects.
Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing global tensions weigh on commodity-linked currencies.
US Economic Data: Strong US data reinforces Dollar strength, undermining the Aussie.
FOMC Outcome: Fed’s hawkish signals curb appetite for high-beta currencies.
Trend: Bearish bias below 0.6570
Resistance: .6580 and 0.6620.
Support: 0.6520 and 0.6480.
Market Sentiment: Risk-off tone prevails as traders favor USD safety.
Catalysts: Chinese economic data, US employment figures, and Fed remarks.
USD/CAD holds steady near 1.4000, with the greenback buoyed by strong yields and fading expectations for Fed rate cuts. Oil prices remain range-bound, offering little relief for the Canadian Dollar.
Geopolitical Risks: Stable energy supply outlook limits CAD volatility.
US Economic Data: Robust US GDP and employment trends strengthen USD demand.
FOMC Outcome: Hawkish tilt reinforces the Dollar’s dominance.
Trend: Sideways-to-bullish above 1.3950.
Resistance: 1.4020 and 1.4060.
Support: 1.3950 and 1.3900.
Forecast: USD/CAD could extend gains toward 1.4050 if the Fed narrative remains hawkish.
Market Sentiment: Neutral-to-bullish for USD as traders brace for higher yields.
Catalysts: US PCE data, oil inventory updates, and BoC commentary.
USD/JPY trades below 154.00 as Tokyo CPI remains above the BoJ’s 2% target, rekindling expectations of further policy normalization in Japan. The Yen strengthened modestly amid a dip in Treasury yields.
Geopolitical Risks: Regional tensions in Asia keep JPY demand modestly supported.
US Economic Data: Strong figures keep Fed policy tight but limit yield divergence.
FOMC Outcome: Hawkish stance keeps upward bias intact for USD/JPY, though gains are capped by BoJ tightening bets.
Trade Policy: Stable Japan–US relations minimize volatility.
Trend: Neutral-to-bearish below 154.00.
Resistance: 154.30 and 154.80.
Support: 153.50 and 153.00.
Forecast: Pair could consolidate, with downside risk if BoJ commentary turns more hawkish.
Market Sentiment: Cautiously bearish for USD/JPY as traders await BoJ cues.
Catalysts: Tokyo inflation data, BoJ policy guidance, and US yield movements.
Markets enter the final trading day of October balancing a hawkish Fed narrative against mixed global data. The Dollar’s resilience continues to pressure major currencies, while safe-haven metals remain underpinned by geopolitical risks. Looking ahead, traders will focus on US inflation and employment data as key indicators for the Fed’s December trajectory.
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